A brewing power struggle in Yaoundé

As President Paul Biya’s long rule enters its fifth decade, the question of succession has become the most pressing political issue in Cameroon. Behind the scenes, a fierce rivalry is unfolding between two key figures: Franck Biya, the president’s son and heir apparent, and Chantal Biya, the first lady and a formidable political operator in her own right.

Analysts say the battle for influence is already shaping the country’s political landscape, with both sides building alliances and positioning themselves for the post-Biya era. While Franck Biya has slowly emerged as a public figure, often seen as the natural successor, Chantal Biya commands a loyal network within the ruling Cameroon People’s Democratic Movement (CPDM) and enjoys significant support among party barons.

Franck Biya: the presumed heir

Franck Biya, the president’s only son, has kept a relatively low profile for years but recently stepped into the spotlight. He has been attending official functions, meeting with diplomats, and making guarded public statements. His supporters argue that he embodies continuity and stability, and that a smooth handover from father to son is the safest path for Cameroon.

However, critics point to his lack of administrative experience and the shadow of nepotism. The question remains whether the CPDM establishment will fully rally behind him, especially with a strong alternative in the first lady.

Chantal Biya: the matriarch’s ambition

Chantal Biya, married to Paul Biya since 1994, has carved out a powerful role as first lady. She is known for her philanthropic work but also for her political acumen. Over the years, she has cultivated a network of loyalists in key positions, from the presidency to regional administrations. Some insiders say she has long harboured ambitions to succeed her husband, or at least to be the power behind the throne.

Her influence was on full display during recent party congresses, where she secured the appointment of close allies to strategic posts. This has caused friction with Franck Biya’s camp, which views her as an obstacle to his ascension.

An impitoyable war of succession

The tension between the two camps is palpable. Sources close to the palace describe a climate of suspicion and manoeuvring. Franck Biya’s allies accuse Chantal Biya of trying to sideline the son, while the first lady’s supporters claim that the young heir is not ready to lead. Both sides are reportedly building media and financial backing, with the battle expected to intensify as Paul Biya’s health becomes an underlying factor.

For now, the president remains in control, but the succession question is no longer a distant scenario. Every political move in Yaoundé is now read through the lens of the Franck-Chantal rivalry. Cameroon is watching closely as these two powerful figures prepare for the inevitable transition.